Preserving the conditions for discovery in an age of autonomous science
Science & Technology
Assuredness is not Accuracy
Why confidence is not the same as truth
When Prediction Outruns Understanding
Why explanation still matters in the age of AI.
AI: Collaborator or Substitute?
AI may be the most powerful cognitive collaborator ever created.
Progression Without Progress
Why optimizing scientific workflows may undermine the evolutionary process that makes discovery possible.
The Hook Is the Problem
Why the future keeps surprising us.
When Confidence Scales Faster Than Understanding
How social media and AI reshape how we form—and trust—our beliefs.
AI Models Lose Their Shirts On Premier League Bets
Systems from Google, OpenAI, Anthropic and xAI struggle when asked to predict scores over football season.
Why Simulation Is Not Explanation
AI systems can now simulate with remarkable fidelity. They generate text, predict outcomes, and reproduce patterns across domains. In many cases, they are not just useful—they are operationally superior.
AI is Making Bad Abstractions More Convincing
Leaders today are not short on data. If anything, they are saturated—dashboards, simulations, metrics, forecasts.
We Keep Asking AI the Wrong Question
AI is advancing rapidly in prediction—forecasting demand, generating text, anticipating behavior. The gains are real. But the framing is incomplete.
The Recipe for Innovation? An Alliance Between Art and Science.
Three tips to help organizations build bridges between creative and systematic thinkers
The New Central Planning
Revisiting the Central Planning Fallacy in the Age of AI
Design Thinking and Evolution
In the popular view, art is about creation, technology about invention, and science about discovery.
Creativity Across Domains
Thoughts in Science, Engineering, Mathematics, Computer Science, Technology, and Art
Can Leadership & Creativity Coexist?
It is rare, but when they do remarkable things happen.
Augmenting Our Thinking for a Cloud World
From certainty to complexity.
The Past Enriching the Present
Two beautiful examples of the early stages of the scientific method and the power of visual imagination.
Understanding Science in a Complex World
Science evolves with complexity, revealing how embracing uncertainty fosters deeper understanding and innovation.
Can We Let Our Brains Do What They Have Been Designed to Do?
How to find the stillpoint in a turning world.